Sunday 22 May 2011

Two Start Pitchers May 22-29

Last week's story:


Pitcher
Start 1
Start 2
Jordan Zimmermann +3% owned
Rainout
Vs Baltimore: 6.1 IP 2 ER, 5 K
Homer Bailey +15% owned
CHC: 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 4K
@CLE: 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 4K
Scott Baker -1% owned
@SEA: 6.0 IP, 4 ER, 8K
@ARI: 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 7K
Ivan Nova +1% owned
@TAM: 5.1 IP, 1 ER, 4K
NYM: 6.2 IP, 3 ER, 2K
Tim Stauffer (no change % owned)
@ARI: 5.1 IP, 4 ER, 6K
SEA: 6.1 IP, 3 ER, 3K

Admittedly, it is difficult to find studs that are less than 50% owned. Fortunately, things went relatively smoothly with last week's pitchers, with none giving up more than 3 runs. That said, the numbers don’t tell the whole story...
Stauffer gave up 10 hits Sunday against the offensively depleted Mariners, while Ivan Nova allowed 11 hits against the Mets; both pitchers minimized damage by allowing three runs. Many will say such damage control represents good and timely pitching… with these pitchers, I assure you it is not. Walking the fine line of 10+ hit games will inevitably result in some type of implosion and perhaps even a Gatorade cooler meltdown. Stauffer and Nova are droppable in most leagues.
On the plus side, Zimmermann and Bailey were dominant in their starts and deserve a permanent spot in most mixed-leagues.

Top 5 two start pitchers owned in less than 50% of leagues:

Left: Norris, Right: Gorzelanny

Bud Norris (49% owned in Yahoo leagues): LAD (Kershaw), ARI (Saunders)
Contrary to popular belief, Bud is not related to Chuck, but perhaps it would be appropriate to give the young Houston Astro Chuck's former title of the 'Texas Ranger'. Norris has overpowering stuff and loves to rack up Ks. Already with 64 on the year (through 55 IP), Norris has proven his ability to mow opponents down. With two starts at home against the Dodgers and Arizona, look for a decent ERA and strong K numbers from the youngster with great upside. 

Tom Gorzelanny: (13% owned in Yahoo leagues): @MIL (Gallardo), SD (Moseley)
Gorzelanny, for the second consecutive year, is proving that he likes pitching well in the first half of the season. The 28-year-old has found some job stability in Washington and seems to be thriving in his new environment following a move away from the windy city. Gorzo is worth a look in shallow to 3 meter-diving-board depth leagues.

Carl Pavano (25% owned in Yahoo leagues): SEA (Vargas), LAA (Haren) 
Carl Pavano is another pitcher that loves to go streaking. He and Scott Baker are the co-presidents of the Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde book fanclub. They have proven time and time again that their ability to shine is tremendously inconsistent. That said, I like Pavano's matchups this week and he is worth starting in deep yahoo leagues (although he remains available in most).


 Left: Duffy, Right: Pavano

Stab in the dark: 
Danny Duffy (1%): @BAL (Britton), @TEX (Ogando) 
Jonathan Niese (9%): @CHC (Dempster), PHI (Blanton/Replacement) 





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